Elite 8 →
Michigan
Duke
Arizona
Gonzaga
Iowa St.
Purdue
Houston
Florida ❌ same region as Houston
Final 4 →
Michigan
Duke
Arizona
Houston
Final →
Michigan
Duke
Champion →
🏆 MICHIGAN
🎯 Pre-Selection Accuracy →
#1 Seeds: 4/4 💯
#2 Seeds: 4/4 💯
#3 Seeds: 4/4 💯
#4 Seeds: 4/4 💯
Field: ~87%
⚠️ Houston + Florida: Same South Region
⚠️ Houston over Florida in Elite 8 — Our Pick
First Four — Dayton, OH · March 17–18
West — Play-In (11 seed)
TEXAS vs. NC State
Midwest — Play-In (11 seed)
MIAMI (OH) vs. SMU
Midwest — Play-In (16 seed)
UMBC vs. Howard
South — Play-In (16 seed)
PRAIRIE VIEW vs. Lehigh
Sweet 16Duke · UConn
Elite 8Duke
Final 4DUKE
Sweet 16Florida · Houston
Elite 8Houston 🏠 Home advantage
Final 4HOUSTON
⚠️ Houston (#2) beats Florida (#1) in Elite Eight — Houston plays in their home city. Florida eliminated.
Sweet 16Arizona · Gonzaga
Elite 8Arizona
Final 4ARIZONA
Sweet 16Michigan · Iowa St.
Elite 8Michigan
Final 4MICHIGAN
Final Four — Indianapolis, IN · April 4
(1) MICHIGAN
Midwest Champ · Big Ten
VS
(1) DUKE
East Champ · ACC
(1) ARIZONA
West Champ · Big 12
VS
(2) HOUSTON
South Champ · Big 12 🏠
National Championship · April 6
🏆 (1) MICHIGAN
Predicted Champion · Big Ten
VS
(1) DUKE
Runner-Up · ACC · #1 Overall Seed
🏆 2026 Predicted National Champion
MICHIGAN
Midwest #1 Seed · Predicted Final Record: 36-3
Midwest Region
51% FG% — Best in Nation
Def. Duke in Final
Indianapolis — Home State
Michigan's elite field goal efficiency (51%), dominant Big Ten campaign, and tournament-tested depth make them the most complete team in the field. The Midwest path through Iowa State is manageable. Duke is the greatest threat as the #1 overall seed — their ACC title, Cameron Boozer, and Jon Scheyer's coaching give them a clear path — but Michigan's ceiling is the highest in the bracket and Indianapolis is practically a home game.
✅ Official Bracket Set — First Four: March 17–18 · Round of 64: March 19–20 · Follow live at fromharley.github.io/ncaa-bracket-2026